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FXUS66 KMTR [Monterey CA] 250540 AFDMTR ∨

FXUS66 KMTR 250540
AFDMTR [HEAD]

National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 10:40pm PDT Sun Oct 24 2021 ∨

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
1040 PM PDT SUN OCT 24 2021 [HEAD]

Synopsis. Heavy rain bands focused over the SF Bay Area will shift southward over the Santa Cruz Mountains and the Central Coast tonight increasing the risk of localized flooding and debris flows. Gusty winds will continue overnight over higher peaks and ridges, while easing at lower elevations. Rain turns to showers overnight into early Monday. Large northwest swells arrive Monday with dangerous waves. A chance of North Bay light rain Tuesday but otherwise a warming and drying trend begins midweek. ∨

.SYNOPSIS...HEAVY RAIN BANDS FOCUSED OVER THE SF BAY AREA WILL
SHIFT SOUTHWARD OVER THE SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS AND THE CENTRAL
COAST TONIGHT INCREASING THE RISK OF LOCALIZED FLOODING AND DEBRIS
FLOWS. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT OVER HIGHER PEAKS AND
RIDGES, WHILE EASING AT LOWER ELEVATIONS. RAIN TURNS TO SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY. LARGE NORTHWEST SWELLS ARRIVE MONDAY
WITH DANGEROUS WAVES. A CHANCE OF NORTH BAY LIGHT RAIN TUESDAY BUT
OTHERWISE A WARMING AND DRYING TREND BEGINS MIDWEEK. [DISC]

Discussion. As of 09:58pm PDT Sunday… satellite infrared imagery shows a steady stream of moisture continuing to flow over the Bay Area under broad southwest flow. To get a sense of the amount of moisture in the atmosphere… today's 00Z [5pm PDT] OAK [Oakland CA] sounding revealed TPW [total precipitable water] (precipitable water) measurement of 1.59 inches. Climatology has the max TPW [total precipitable water] for the day at 1.61 inches. Have seen 24 hour precipitation totals throughout the Sonoma/Marin coastal range between 7–10 inches and 3–7 inches in the lower elevations. Still expecting additional North Bay accumulations overnight but at more moderate rates. Some of the river gauges there have reached action or minor flood stages with reports of rivers overflowing their Banks, and flooded roadways around North Bay and the immediate Bay Area. Also, some minor movement was reported on the glass fire burn scar in Napa County. KMUX [Santa Clara/88D CA] radar shows the northern boundary of precipitation over northern Sonoma County moving southeastward, so flooding concerns should begin to diminish in the next few hours, at least in North Bay. Flash Flood Watches for North Bay burn scar areas and Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisories are still in effect (or have been extended) until 11pm the Wind Advisory that was in effect earlier was allowed to expire for the SF Bay Area, as winds have largely settled down throughout the valleys and lower elevations. A Wind Advisory is still in effect for Monterey and San Benito Counties through 11pm ∨

.DISCUSSION...AS OF 09:58 PM PDT SUNDAY...SATELLITE INFRARED
IMAGERY SHOWS A STEADY STREAM OF MOISTURE CONTINUING TO FLOW OVER
THE BAY AREA UNDER BROAD SOUTHWEST FLOW. TO GET A SENSE OF THE
AMOUNT OF MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE..TODAY`S 00Z OAK SOUNDING
REVEALED TPW (PRECIPITABLE WATER) MEASUREMENT OF 1.59 INCHES.
CLIMATOLOGY HAS THE MAX TPW FOR THE DAY AT 1.61 INCHES. HAVE SEEN
24 HR PRECIP TOTALS THROUGHOUT THE SONOMA/MARIN COASTAL RANGE
BETWEEN 7-10 INCHES AND 3-7 INCHES IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. STILL
EXPECTING ADDITIONAL NORTH BAY ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT BUT AT MORE
MODERATE RATES. SOME OF THE RIVER GAUGES THERE HAVE REACHED
ACTION OR MINOR FLOOD STAGES WITH REPORTS OF RIVERS OVERFLOWING
THEIR BANKS, AND FLOODED ROADWAYS AROUND NORTH BAY AND THE
IMMEDIATE BAY AREA. ALSO, SOME MINOR MOVEMENT WAS REPORTED ON THE
GLASS FIRE BURN SCAR IN NAPA COUNTY. KMUX RADAR SHOWS THE NORTHERN
BOUNDARY OF PRECIP OVER NORTHERN SONOMA COUNTY MOVING
SOUTHEASTWARD, SO FLOODING CONCERNS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH IN
THE NEXT FEW HOURS, AT LEAST IN NORTH BAY. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES FOR
N BAY BURN SCAR AREAS AND URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORIES
ARE STILL IN EFFECT (OR HAVE BEEN EXTENDED) UNTIL 11 P.M. THE
WIND ADVISORY THAT WAS IN EFFECT EARLIER WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE FOR
THE SF BAY AREA, AS WINDS HAVE LARGELY SETTLED DOWN THROUGHOUT
THE VALLEYS AND LOWER ELEVATIONS. A WIND ADVISORY IS STILL IN
EFFECT FOR MONTEREY AND SAN BENITO COUNTIES THROUGH 11 P.M. [DISC]

Overnight, concern turns to Santa Cruz County (especially the czu burn scar) and the Central Coast coastal range and area burn scars, as the heavy rain bands continue to move southward. Have issued an area Flash Flood Watch covering the czu burn area through 11pm as precipitation rates have neared but not exceeded burn scar thresholds, but several hours of heavy rainfall are possible overnight. A report of a small mudslide in Santa Cruz was reported near Ben Lomond earlier this evening. Would not be surprised to see others forthcoming. Additionally, gusty winds near ridgetops will create risks for downed powerlines, trees, branches, etc. ∨

OVERNIGHT, CONCERN TURNS TO SANTA CRUZ COUNTY (ESPECIALLY THE CZU
BURN SCAR) AND THE CENTRAL COAST COASTAL RANGE AND AREA BURN
SCARS, AS THE HEAVY RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWARD. HAVE
ISSUED AN AREA FLASH FLOOD WATCH COVERING THE CZU BURN AREA
THROUGH 11 P.M. AS PRECIP RATES HAVE NEARED BUT NOT EXCEEDED BURN
SCAR THRESHOLDS, BUT SEVERAL HOURS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT. A REPORT OF A SMALL MUDSLIDE IN SANTA CRUZ WAS REPORTED
NEAR BEN LOMOND EARLIER THIS EVENING. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO
SEE OTHERS FORTHCOMING. ADDITIONALLY, GUSTY WINDS NEAR RIDGETOPS
WILL CREATE RISKS FOR DOWNED POWERLINES, TREES, BRANCHES, ETC. [DISC]

Gusty winds are still being observed around Monterey Bay with various reports over 30 and 40 mph. Wind Advisory is set to expire at 11pm when winds should begin to settle down. Main concern for the area overnight will be flooding and debris flows/mudslides near burn scars and in steep coastal terrain. Cams show the heaviest rain bands exiting southern Monterey County by around daybreak with scattered showers lingering through the morning. ∨

GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL BEING OBSERVED AROUND MONTEREY BAY WITH
VARIOUS REPORTS OVER 30 AND 40 MPH. WIND ADVISORY IS SET TO EXPIRE
AT 11 P.M. WHEN WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO SETTLE DOWN. MAIN CONCERN
FOR THE AREA OVERNIGHT WILL BE FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS/MUDSLIDES
NEAR BURN SCARS AND IN STEEP COASTAL TERRAIN. CAMS SHOW THE
HEAVIEST RAIN BANDS EXITING SOUTHERN MONTEREY COUNTY BY AROUND
DAYBREAK WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS LINGERING THROUGH THE MORNING. [DISC]

Please avoid unnecessary travel tonight and if you are on the roadways, do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. Also, heed any orders from your local authorities in case evacuations are needed. Conditions will vastly improve tomorrow morning with some isolated to scattered showers and cool temperatures. ∨

PLEASE AVOID UNNECESSARY TRAVEL TONIGHT AND IF YOU ARE ON THE
ROADWAYS, DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. ALSO,
HEED ANY ORDERS FROM YOUR LOCAL AUTHORITIES IN CASE EVACUATIONS
ARE NEEDED. CONDITIONS WILL VASTLY IMPROVE TOMORROW MORNING WITH
SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND COOL TEMPERATURES. [DISC]

Also, a reminder, conditions will be hazardous at the beaches through Tuesday. A massive northwest swell from 20–30 feet will hammer the coastline during this time and a High Surf Warning is in effect. Be sure to stay well back from the water early this week and never turn your back on the ocean. See details below in the "beaches" section. ∨

ALSO, A REMINDER, CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT THE BEACHES
THROUGH TUESDAY. A MASSIVE NORTHWEST SWELL FROM 20-30 FEET WILL
HAMMER THE COASTLINE DURING THIS TIME AND A HIGH SURF WARNING IS
IN EFFECT. BE SURE TO STAY WELL BACK FROM THE WATER EARLY THIS
WEEK AND NEVER TURN YOUR BACK ON THE OCEAN. SEE DETAILS BELOW IN
THE "BEACHES" SECTION. [DISC]

Aviation. As of 10:40pm PDT Sunday… for the 06Z [11pm PDT] TAFs [Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts]. The atmospheric river continues to stream rain/heavy rain across the terminals tonight along with MVFR [Marginal Visual Flight Rules]/IFR [Instrument Flight Rules] ceilings and low visibility at most of the terminals. Coastal and North Bay terminals (eg STS [Santa Rosa CA]/Livermore/haf/WVI [Watsonville CA]/MRY [Monterey CA]) report visibility between 1–3 sm, while overcast 15–30 ceilings hover over most of the inland terminals. The strongest heavy rain showers are still on track to affect MRY [Monterey CA]/SNS [Salinas CA] through 8–10Z [1–3am PDT] this morning, while lingering light rain/VCSH [Rain Showers in the Vicinity] will continue to affect the rest of the terminals through the rest of the morning. Winds behind the frontal passage have quickly dropped off, so are on track for light winds at the Bay Area terminals along with low-level wind shear 35–45 kts [40–52 mph] gradually diminishing by noon. Strong winds 20–35 kts [23–40 mph] will still linger over the Central Coast terminals until just after 10Z [3am PDT] as the narrow cold frontal rainband eventually exits the region. The rest of the TAF [Terminal Aerodrome Forecast] period will be dominated by light rain/VCSH [Rain Showers in the Vicinity] along with light surface winds from dawn through the end of the period, with skies few-scattered 060. ∨

.AVIATION...AS OF 10:40 PM PDT SUNDAY...FOR THE 06Z TAFS. THE
ATMOSPHERIC RIVER CONTINUES TO STREAM RA/+RA ACROSS THE TERMINALS
TONIGHT ALONG WITH MVFR/IFR CIGS AND LOW VIS AT MOST OF THE
TERMINALS. COASTAL AND NORTH BAY TERMINALS (E.G.
STS/LVK/HAF/WVI/MRY) REPORT VIS BETWEEN 1 TO 3 SM, WHILE OVC15-30
CIGS HOVER OVER MOST OF THE INLAND TERMINALS. THE STRONGEST +RA
SHOWERS ARE STILL ON TRACK TO AFFECT MRY/SNS THROUGH 8-10Z THIS
MORNING, WHILE LINGERING -RA/VCSH WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE REST
OF THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE REST OF THE MORNING. WINDS BEHIND THE
FROPA HAVE QUICKLY DROPPED OFF, SO ARE ON TRACK FOR LIGHT WINDS AT
THE BAY AREA TERMINALS ALONG WITH LLWS 35-45 KTS GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING BY NOON. STRONG WINDS 20-35KTS WILL STILL LINGER OVER
THE CENTRAL COAST TERMINALS UNTIL JUST AFTER 10Z AS THE NARROW
COLD FRONTAL RAINBAND EVENTUALLY EXITS THE REGION. THE REST OF THE
TAF PERIOD WILL BE DOMINATED BY -RA/VCSH ALONG WITH LIGHT SURFACE
WINDS FROM DAWN THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD, WITH SKIES FEW-
SCT060. [AVIA]

Vicinity of KSFO [San Francisco CA]… MVFR [Marginal Visual Flight Rules]/IFR [Instrument Flight Rules] conditions with heavy rain and low-level wind shear. Breezy to light SW/W winds overnight. Low-level wind shear will begin to diminished after 09Z [2am PDT]. Light rain/VCSH [Rain Showers in the Vicinity] will continue through 18Z [11am PDT] Monday, with skies clearing out by Monday 00Z [5pm PDT]. Breezy W winds Monday afternoon with gusts up to 25 kts [29 mph], before gradually dropping off towards the end of the TAF [Terminal Aerodrome Forecast] period. ∨

VICINITY OF KSFO...MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WITH +RA AND LLWS. BREEZY
TO LIGHT SW/W WINDS OVERNIGHT. LLWS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISHED
AFTER 09Z. -RA/VCSH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 18Z MONDAY, WITH SKIES
CLEARING OUT BY MONDAY 00Z. BREEZY W WINDS MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25KTS, BEFORE GRADUALLY DROPPING OFF TOWARDS THE END
OF THE TAF PERIOD. [AVI2]

KSFO [San Francisco CA] bridge approach… similar to KSFO [San Francisco CA]. ∨

KSFO BRIDGE APPROACH...SIMILAR TO KSFO. [AVI2]

Monterey Bay… ceilings will remain low ahead of the heavier showers with MVFR [Marginal Visual Flight Rules] (possibly IFR [Instrument Flight Rules]/LIFR [Low Instrument Flight Rules]) conditions then persisting through at least the early to mid morning hours. Gusty southerly winds also expected with gusts 25–35 kt [29–40 mph] expected through 9–10Z [2–3am PDT]. Stronger winds aloft are also expected at 40–50 kt [46–58 mph] thus resulting in some low-level wind shear through at least 12Z [5am PDT]. Winds will then gradually diminish as the rain along the narrow cold frontal rainband clips the Central Coast. Lighter winds and diminishing low-level wind shear conditions by dawn, with light winds through the remainder of the TAF [Terminal Aerodrome Forecast] period. ∨

MONTEREY BAY... CIGS WILL REMAIN LOW AHEAD OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS
WITH MVFR (POSSIBLY IFR/LIFR) CONDITIONS THEN PERSISTING THROUGH
AT LEAST THE EARLY TO MID MORNING HOURS. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS
ALSO EXPECTED WITH GUSTS 25-35 KT EXPECTED THROUGH 9-10Z.
STRONGER WINDS ALOFT ARE ALSO EXPECTED AT 40-50 KT THUS RESULTING
IN SOME LLWS THROUGH AT LEAST 12Z. WINDS WILL THEN GRADUALLY
DIMINISH AS THE RA ALONG THE NARROW COLD FRONTAL RAINBAND CLIPS
THE CENTRAL COAST. LIGHTER WINDS AND DIMINISHING LLWS CONDITIONS
BY DAWN, WITH LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD. [AVI2]

Beaches… as of 4:29am PDT Sunday… a strong, early season storm system arrives today and will result in significantly increased wave energy from late today into early Tuesday. This wave energy will transition through the coastal waters from late today into Tuesday, and peak on Monday. Swell of 16–24 feet at 16–18 seconds is forecast to arrive with the swell train as it peaks on Monday and result in a number of coastal hazards. These hazards include large breaking waves of 20–30 feet (higher at favored break points), increased risk of strong longshore and rip currents, increased risk of coastal erosion and minor coastal flooding, and enhanced coastal run up concerns due to the summer beach profiles in place. Due to the early arrival of these large waves, many beaches are still transitioning from their summer beach profiles and lack the features and steepness to resist larger wave run up on coasts. This means that more of this wave energy will have a chance to move onto the beach and overtake individuals, potentially injuring them, or pulling them into the cold ocean. Each year, people die at the coast due to these or similar ocean conditions. A High Surf Warning for the entire coast has been issued for this threat and is in effect from 11pm Sunday to 11am Tuesday, with the highest risks once again at west to northwest facing beaches. ∨

.BEACHES...AS OF 4:29 AM PDT SUNDAY...A STRONG, EARLY SEASON
STORM SYSTEM ARRIVES TODAY AND WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANTLY
INCREASED WAVE ENERGY FROM LATE TODAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY. THIS
WAVE ENERGY WILL TRANSITION THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS FROM LATE
TODAY INTO TUESDAY, AND PEAK ON MONDAY. SWELL OF 16 TO 24 FEET AT
16 TO 18 SECONDS IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE WITH THE SWELL TRAIN AS IT
PEAKS ON MONDAY AND RESULT IN A NUMBER OF COASTAL HAZARDS. THESE
HAZARDS INCLUDE LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF 20 TO 30 FEET (HIGHER AT
FAVORED BREAK POINTS), INCREASED RISK OF STRONG LONGSHORE AND RIP
CURRENTS, INCREASED RISK OF COASTAL EROSION AND MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING, AND ENHANCED COASTAL RUN UP CONCERNS DUE TO THE SUMMER
BEACH PROFILES IN PLACE. DUE TO THE EARLY ARRIVAL OF THESE LARGE
WAVES, MANY BEACHES ARE STILL TRANSITIONING FROM THEIR SUMMER
BEACH PROFILES AND LACK THE FEATURES AND STEEPNESS TO RESIST
LARGER WAVE RUN UP ON COASTS. THIS MEANS THAT MORE OF THIS WAVE
ENERGY WILL HAVE A CHANCE TO MOVE ONTO THE BEACH AND OVERTAKE
INDIVIDUALS, POTENTIALLY INJURING THEM, OR PULLING THEM INTO THE
COLD OCEAN. EACH YEAR, PEOPLE DIE AT THE COAST DUE TO THESE OR
SIMILAR OCEAN CONDITIONS. A HIGH SURF WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE COAST
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS THREAT AND IS IN EFFECT FROM 11PM SUNDAY
TO 11AM TUESDAY, WITH THE HIGHEST RISKS ONCE AGAIN AT WEST TO
NORTHWEST FACING BEACHES. [DISC]

Marine. As of 09:08pm PDT Sunday… winds over the waters have reduced to 20–30 miles per hour with some occasional gusts up to 40 miles per hour tonight. These strong winds will generate very steep swell that result in hazardous conditions, especially for smaller vessels. Winds will continue to diminish tonight, becoming calm by Monday afternoon. A large west to northwest swell train with swell heights of 16–24 feet at 16–18 seconds moves in tonight. Swell heights to peak on Monday and bring hazardous conditions to the surf zone and near harbor entrances with breaking waves of 20–30 feet. ∨

.MARINE...AS OF 09:08 PM PDT SUNDAY...WINDS OVER THE WATERS HAVE
REDUCED TO 20 TO 30 MILES PER HOUR  WITH SOME OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 40 MILES PER HOUR TONIGHT. THESE  STRONG WINDS WILL GENERATE
VERY STEEP SWELL THAT RESULT IN  HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY
FOR SMALLER VESSELS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TONIGHT,
BECOMING CALM BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. A LARGE WEST TO NORTHWEST SWELL
TRAIN WITH SWELL HEIGHTS OF 16 TO  24 FEET AT 16 TO 18 SECONDS
MOVES IN TONIGHT. SWELL HEIGHTS TO  PEAK ON MONDAY AND BRING
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO THE SURF ZONE AND NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES
WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 20 TO 30 FEET. [AVIA]

MTR Watches/Warnings/Advisories

Tonight: Wind Advisory…*CAZ516>518–528–530* High Surf Warning…*CAZ006–505–509–529–530* Flash Flood Watch…*CAZ509–512* Flash Flood Watch…*CAZ517* Small Craft Advisory…Pt Arena [Mendocino CA] to Pt Reyes [San Francisco CA] 0–10 nm [11 miles] Small Craft Advisory…Pt Reyes [San Francisco CA] to Pigeon Pt [Pescadero CA] 0–10 nm [11 miles] Small Craft Advisory…Pigeon Pt [Pescadero CA] to Pt Pinos [Monterey CA] 0–10 nm [11 miles] Small Craft Advisory…Pt Pinos [Monterey CA] to Pt Piedras Blancas [San Simeon CA] 0–10 nm [11 miles] Small Craft Advisory…Pt Arena [Mendocino CA] to Pigeon Pt [Pescadero CA] 10–60 nm [69 miles] Small Craft Advisory…Pigeon Pt [Pescadero CA] to Pt Piedras Blancas [San Simeon CA] 10–60 nm [69 miles] Small Craft Advisory…SF Bay until 3am Small Craft Advisory…Monterey Bay until 3am ∨

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.TNGT...WIND ADVISORY...*CAZ516>518-528-530*
HIGH SURF WARNING...*CAZ006-505-509-529-530*
FLASH FLOOD WATCH...*CAZ509-512*
FLASH FLOOD WATCH...*CAZ517*
SCA...PT ARENA TO PT REYES 0-10 NM
SCA...PT REYES TO PIGEON PT 0-10 NM
SCA...PIGEON PT TO PT PINOS 0-10 NM
SCA...PT PINOS TO PT PIEDRAS BLANCAS 0-10 NM
SCA...PT ARENA TO PIGEON PT 10-60 NM
SCA...PIGEON PT TO PT PIEDRAS BLANCAS 10-60 NM
SCA...SF BAY UNTIL 3 AM
SCA...MRY BAY UNTIL 3 AM [WARN]

Public Forecast: Lorber; Aviation: Diaz; Marine: Dhuyvetter ∨

PUBLIC FORECAST: LORBER
AVIATION: DIAZ
MARINE: DHUYVETTER [CRED]

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Weather NWS glossary About NWS point forecasts Hourly Weather Graph Long-range forecast Radar Satellite Max Temps Graphical Forecast	Area Forecast Discussion FXUS66 KMTR [Monterey CA] 250540 AFDMTR ∨ FXUS66 KMTR 250540 AFDMTR [HEAD] National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 10:40pm PDT Sun Oct 24 2021 ∨ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA 1040 PM PDT SUN OCT 24 2021 [HEAD] Synopsis. Heavy rain bands focused over the SF Bay Area will shift southward over the Santa Cruz Mountains and the Central Coast tonight increasing the risk of localized flooding and debris flows. Gusty winds will continue overnight over higher peaks and ridges, while easing at lower elevations. Rain turns to showers overnight into early Monday. Large northwest swells arrive Monday with dangerous waves. A chance of North Bay light rain Tuesday but otherwise a warming and drying trend begins midweek. ∨ .SYNOPSIS...HEAVY RAIN BANDS FOCUSED OVER THE SF BAY AREA WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD OVER THE SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS AND THE CENTRAL COAST TONIGHT INCREASING THE RISK OF LOCALIZED FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT OVER HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGES, WHILE EASING AT LOWER ELEVATIONS. RAIN TURNS TO SHOWERS OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY. LARGE NORTHWEST SWELLS ARRIVE MONDAY WITH DANGEROUS WAVES. A CHANCE OF NORTH BAY LIGHT RAIN TUESDAY BUT OTHERWISE A WARMING AND DRYING TREND BEGINS MIDWEEK. [DISC] Discussion. As of 09:58pm PDT Sunday… satellite infrared imagery shows a steady stream of moisture continuing to flow over the Bay Area under broad southwest flow. To get a sense of the amount of moisture in the atmosphere… today's 00Z [5pm PDT] OAK [Oakland CA] sounding revealed TPW [total precipitable water] (precipitable water) measurement of 1.59 inches. Climatology has the max TPW [total precipitable water] for the day at 1.61 inches. Have seen 24 hour precipitation totals throughout the Sonoma/Marin coastal range between 7–10 inches and 3–7 inches in the lower elevations. Still expecting additional North Bay accumulations overnight but at more moderate rates. Some of the river gauges there have reached action or minor flood stages with reports of rivers overflowing their Banks, and flooded roadways around North Bay and the immediate Bay Area. Also, some minor movement was reported on the glass fire burn scar in Napa County. KMUX [Santa Clara/88D CA] radar shows the northern boundary of precipitation over northern Sonoma County moving southeastward, so flooding concerns should begin to diminish in the next few hours, at least in North Bay. Flash Flood Watches for North Bay burn scar areas and Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisories are still in effect (or have been extended) until 11pm the Wind Advisory that was in effect earlier was allowed to expire for the SF Bay Area, as winds have largely settled down throughout the valleys and lower elevations. A Wind Advisory is still in effect for Monterey and San Benito Counties through 11pm ∨ .DISCUSSION...AS OF 09:58 PM PDT SUNDAY...SATELLITE INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS A STEADY STREAM OF MOISTURE CONTINUING TO FLOW OVER THE BAY AREA UNDER BROAD SOUTHWEST FLOW. TO GET A SENSE OF THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE..TODAY`S 00Z OAK SOUNDING REVEALED TPW (PRECIPITABLE WATER) MEASUREMENT OF 1.59 INCHES. CLIMATOLOGY HAS THE MAX TPW FOR THE DAY AT 1.61 INCHES. HAVE SEEN 24 HR PRECIP TOTALS THROUGHOUT THE SONOMA/MARIN COASTAL RANGE BETWEEN 7-10 INCHES AND 3-7 INCHES IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. STILL EXPECTING ADDITIONAL NORTH BAY ACCUMULATIONS OVERNIGHT BUT AT MORE MODERATE RATES. SOME OF THE RIVER GAUGES THERE HAVE REACHED ACTION OR MINOR FLOOD STAGES WITH REPORTS OF RIVERS OVERFLOWING THEIR BANKS, AND FLOODED ROADWAYS AROUND NORTH BAY AND THE IMMEDIATE BAY AREA. ALSO, SOME MINOR MOVEMENT WAS REPORTED ON THE GLASS FIRE BURN SCAR IN NAPA COUNTY. KMUX RADAR SHOWS THE NORTHERN BOUNDARY OF PRECIP OVER NORTHERN SONOMA COUNTY MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD, SO FLOODING CONCERNS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS, AT LEAST IN NORTH BAY. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES FOR N BAY BURN SCAR AREAS AND URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORIES ARE STILL IN EFFECT (OR HAVE BEEN EXTENDED) UNTIL 11 P.M. THE WIND ADVISORY THAT WAS IN EFFECT EARLIER WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE FOR THE SF BAY AREA, AS WINDS HAVE LARGELY SETTLED DOWN THROUGHOUT THE VALLEYS AND LOWER ELEVATIONS. A WIND ADVISORY IS STILL IN EFFECT FOR MONTEREY AND SAN BENITO COUNTIES THROUGH 11 P.M. [DISC] Overnight, concern turns to Santa Cruz County (especially the czu burn scar) and the Central Coast coastal range and area burn scars, as the heavy rain bands continue to move southward. Have issued an area Flash Flood Watch covering the czu burn area through 11pm as precipitation rates have neared but not exceeded burn scar thresholds, but several hours of heavy rainfall are possible overnight. A report of a small mudslide in Santa Cruz was reported near Ben Lomond earlier this evening. Would not be surprised to see others forthcoming. Additionally, gusty winds near ridgetops will create risks for downed powerlines, trees, branches, etc. ∨ OVERNIGHT, CONCERN TURNS TO SANTA CRUZ COUNTY (ESPECIALLY THE CZU BURN SCAR) AND THE CENTRAL COAST COASTAL RANGE AND AREA BURN SCARS, AS THE HEAVY RAIN BANDS CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWARD. HAVE ISSUED AN AREA FLASH FLOOD WATCH COVERING THE CZU BURN AREA THROUGH 11 P.M. AS PRECIP RATES HAVE NEARED BUT NOT EXCEEDED BURN SCAR THRESHOLDS, BUT SEVERAL HOURS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. A REPORT OF A SMALL MUDSLIDE IN SANTA CRUZ WAS REPORTED NEAR BEN LOMOND EARLIER THIS EVENING. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE OTHERS FORTHCOMING. ADDITIONALLY, GUSTY WINDS NEAR RIDGETOPS WILL CREATE RISKS FOR DOWNED POWERLINES, TREES, BRANCHES, ETC. [DISC] Gusty winds are still being observed around Monterey Bay with various reports over 30 and 40 mph. Wind Advisory is set to expire at 11pm when winds should begin to settle down. Main concern for the area overnight will be flooding and debris flows/mudslides near burn scars and in steep coastal terrain. Cams show the heaviest rain bands exiting southern Monterey County by around daybreak with scattered showers lingering through the morning. ∨ GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL BEING OBSERVED AROUND MONTEREY BAY WITH VARIOUS REPORTS OVER 30 AND 40 MPH. WIND ADVISORY IS SET TO EXPIRE AT 11 P.M. WHEN WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO SETTLE DOWN. MAIN CONCERN FOR THE AREA OVERNIGHT WILL BE FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS/MUDSLIDES NEAR BURN SCARS AND IN STEEP COASTAL TERRAIN. CAMS SHOW THE HEAVIEST RAIN BANDS EXITING SOUTHERN MONTEREY COUNTY BY AROUND DAYBREAK WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS LINGERING THROUGH THE MORNING. [DISC] Please avoid unnecessary travel tonight and if you are on the roadways, do not attempt to drive through flooded areas. Also, heed any orders from your local authorities in case evacuations are needed. Conditions will vastly improve tomorrow morning with some isolated to scattered showers and cool temperatures. ∨ PLEASE AVOID UNNECESSARY TRAVEL TONIGHT AND IF YOU ARE ON THE ROADWAYS, DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. ALSO, HEED ANY ORDERS FROM YOUR LOCAL AUTHORITIES IN CASE EVACUATIONS ARE NEEDED. CONDITIONS WILL VASTLY IMPROVE TOMORROW MORNING WITH SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND COOL TEMPERATURES. [DISC] Also, a reminder, conditions will be hazardous at the beaches through Tuesday. A massive northwest swell from 20–30 feet will hammer the coastline during this time and a High Surf Warning is in effect. Be sure to stay well back from the water early this week and never turn your back on the ocean. See details below in the "beaches" section. ∨ ALSO, A REMINDER, CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS AT THE BEACHES THROUGH TUESDAY. A MASSIVE NORTHWEST SWELL FROM 20-30 FEET WILL HAMMER THE COASTLINE DURING THIS TIME AND A HIGH SURF WARNING IS IN EFFECT. BE SURE TO STAY WELL BACK FROM THE WATER EARLY THIS WEEK AND NEVER TURN YOUR BACK ON THE OCEAN. SEE DETAILS BELOW IN THE "BEACHES" SECTION. [DISC] Aviation. As of 10:40pm PDT Sunday… for the 06Z [11pm PDT] TAFs [Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts]. The atmospheric river continues to stream rain/heavy rain across the terminals tonight along with MVFR [Marginal Visual Flight Rules]/IFR [Instrument Flight Rules] ceilings and low visibility at most of the terminals. Coastal and North Bay terminals (eg STS [Santa Rosa CA]/Livermore/haf/WVI [Watsonville CA]/MRY [Monterey CA]) report visibility between 1–3 sm, while overcast 15–30 ceilings hover over most of the inland terminals. The strongest heavy rain showers are still on track to affect MRY [Monterey CA]/SNS [Salinas CA] through 8–10Z [1–3am PDT] this morning, while lingering light rain/VCSH [Rain Showers in the Vicinity] will continue to affect the rest of the terminals through the rest of the morning. Winds behind the frontal passage have quickly dropped off, so are on track for light winds at the Bay Area terminals along with low-level wind shear 35–45 kts [40–52 mph] gradually diminishing by noon. Strong winds 20–35 kts [23–40 mph] will still linger over the Central Coast terminals until just after 10Z [3am PDT] as the narrow cold frontal rainband eventually exits the region. The rest of the TAF [Terminal Aerodrome Forecast] period will be dominated by light rain/VCSH [Rain Showers in the Vicinity] along with light surface winds from dawn through the end of the period, with skies few-scattered 060. ∨ .AVIATION...AS OF 10:40 PM PDT SUNDAY...FOR THE 06Z TAFS. THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER CONTINUES TO STREAM RA/+RA ACROSS THE TERMINALS TONIGHT ALONG WITH MVFR/IFR CIGS AND LOW VIS AT MOST OF THE TERMINALS. COASTAL AND NORTH BAY TERMINALS (E.G. STS/LVK/HAF/WVI/MRY) REPORT VIS BETWEEN 1 TO 3 SM, WHILE OVC15-30 CIGS HOVER OVER MOST OF THE INLAND TERMINALS. THE STRONGEST +RA SHOWERS ARE STILL ON TRACK TO AFFECT MRY/SNS THROUGH 8-10Z THIS MORNING, WHILE LINGERING -RA/VCSH WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE REST OF THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE REST OF THE MORNING. WINDS BEHIND THE FROPA HAVE QUICKLY DROPPED OFF, SO ARE ON TRACK FOR LIGHT WINDS AT THE BAY AREA TERMINALS ALONG WITH LLWS 35-45 KTS GRADUALLY DIMINISHING BY NOON. STRONG WINDS 20-35KTS WILL STILL LINGER OVER THE CENTRAL COAST TERMINALS UNTIL JUST AFTER 10Z AS THE NARROW COLD FRONTAL RAINBAND EVENTUALLY EXITS THE REGION. THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD WILL BE DOMINATED BY -RA/VCSH ALONG WITH LIGHT SURFACE WINDS FROM DAWN THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD, WITH SKIES FEW- SCT060. [AVIA] Vicinity of KSFO [San Francisco CA]… MVFR [Marginal Visual Flight Rules]/IFR [Instrument Flight Rules] conditions with heavy rain and low-level wind shear. Breezy to light SW/W winds overnight. Low-level wind shear will begin to diminished after 09Z [2am PDT]. Light rain/VCSH [Rain Showers in the Vicinity] will continue through 18Z [11am PDT] Monday, with skies clearing out by Monday 00Z [5pm PDT]. Breezy W winds Monday afternoon with gusts up to 25 kts [29 mph], before gradually dropping off towards the end of the TAF [Terminal Aerodrome Forecast] period. ∨ VICINITY OF KSFO...MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WITH +RA AND LLWS. BREEZY TO LIGHT SW/W WINDS OVERNIGHT. LLWS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISHED AFTER 09Z. -RA/VCSH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 18Z MONDAY, WITH SKIES CLEARING OUT BY MONDAY 00Z. BREEZY W WINDS MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 25KTS, BEFORE GRADUALLY DROPPING OFF TOWARDS THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. [AVI2] KSFO [San Francisco CA] bridge approach… similar to KSFO [San Francisco CA]. ∨ KSFO BRIDGE APPROACH...SIMILAR TO KSFO. [AVI2] Monterey Bay… ceilings will remain low ahead of the heavier showers with MVFR [Marginal Visual Flight Rules] (possibly IFR [Instrument Flight Rules]/LIFR [Low Instrument Flight Rules]) conditions then persisting through at least the early to mid morning hours. Gusty southerly winds also expected with gusts 25–35 kt [29–40 mph] expected through 9–10Z [2–3am PDT]. Stronger winds aloft are also expected at 40–50 kt [46–58 mph] thus resulting in some low-level wind shear through at least 12Z [5am PDT]. Winds will then gradually diminish as the rain along the narrow cold frontal rainband clips the Central Coast. Lighter winds and diminishing low-level wind shear conditions by dawn, with light winds through the remainder of the TAF [Terminal Aerodrome Forecast] period. ∨ MONTEREY BAY... CIGS WILL REMAIN LOW AHEAD OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS WITH MVFR (POSSIBLY IFR/LIFR) CONDITIONS THEN PERSISTING THROUGH AT LEAST THE EARLY TO MID MORNING HOURS. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS ALSO EXPECTED WITH GUSTS 25-35 KT EXPECTED THROUGH 9-10Z. STRONGER WINDS ALOFT ARE ALSO EXPECTED AT 40-50 KT THUS RESULTING IN SOME LLWS THROUGH AT LEAST 12Z. WINDS WILL THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS THE RA ALONG THE NARROW COLD FRONTAL RAINBAND CLIPS THE CENTRAL COAST. LIGHTER WINDS AND DIMINISHING LLWS CONDITIONS BY DAWN, WITH LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TAF PERIOD. [AVI2] Beaches… as of 4:29am PDT Sunday… a strong, early season storm system arrives today and will result in significantly increased wave energy from late today into early Tuesday. This wave energy will transition through the coastal waters from late today into Tuesday, and peak on Monday. Swell of 16–24 feet at 16–18 seconds is forecast to arrive with the swell train as it peaks on Monday and result in a number of coastal hazards. These hazards include large breaking waves of 20–30 feet (higher at favored break points), increased risk of strong longshore and rip currents, increased risk of coastal erosion and minor coastal flooding, and enhanced coastal run up concerns due to the summer beach profiles in place. Due to the early arrival of these large waves, many beaches are still transitioning from their summer beach profiles and lack the features and steepness to resist larger wave run up on coasts. This means that more of this wave energy will have a chance to move onto the beach and overtake individuals, potentially injuring them, or pulling them into the cold ocean. Each year, people die at the coast due to these or similar ocean conditions. A High Surf Warning for the entire coast has been issued for this threat and is in effect from 11pm Sunday to 11am Tuesday, with the highest risks once again at west to northwest facing beaches. ∨ .BEACHES...AS OF 4:29 AM PDT SUNDAY...A STRONG, EARLY SEASON STORM SYSTEM ARRIVES TODAY AND WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED WAVE ENERGY FROM LATE TODAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY. THIS WAVE ENERGY WILL TRANSITION THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS FROM LATE TODAY INTO TUESDAY, AND PEAK ON MONDAY. SWELL OF 16 TO 24 FEET AT 16 TO 18 SECONDS IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE WITH THE SWELL TRAIN AS IT PEAKS ON MONDAY AND RESULT IN A NUMBER OF COASTAL HAZARDS. THESE HAZARDS INCLUDE LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF 20 TO 30 FEET (HIGHER AT FAVORED BREAK POINTS), INCREASED RISK OF STRONG LONGSHORE AND RIP CURRENTS, INCREASED RISK OF COASTAL EROSION AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING, AND ENHANCED COASTAL RUN UP CONCERNS DUE TO THE SUMMER BEACH PROFILES IN PLACE. DUE TO THE EARLY ARRIVAL OF THESE LARGE WAVES, MANY BEACHES ARE STILL TRANSITIONING FROM THEIR SUMMER BEACH PROFILES AND LACK THE FEATURES AND STEEPNESS TO RESIST LARGER WAVE RUN UP ON COASTS. THIS MEANS THAT MORE OF THIS WAVE ENERGY WILL HAVE A CHANCE TO MOVE ONTO THE BEACH AND OVERTAKE INDIVIDUALS, POTENTIALLY INJURING THEM, OR PULLING THEM INTO THE COLD OCEAN. EACH YEAR, PEOPLE DIE AT THE COAST DUE TO THESE OR SIMILAR OCEAN CONDITIONS. A HIGH SURF WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE COAST HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS THREAT AND IS IN EFFECT FROM 11PM SUNDAY TO 11AM TUESDAY, WITH THE HIGHEST RISKS ONCE AGAIN AT WEST TO NORTHWEST FACING BEACHES. [DISC] Marine. As of 09:08pm PDT Sunday… winds over the waters have reduced to 20–30 miles per hour with some occasional gusts up to 40 miles per hour tonight. These strong winds will generate very steep swell that result in hazardous conditions, especially for smaller vessels. Winds will continue to diminish tonight, becoming calm by Monday afternoon. A large west to northwest swell train with swell heights of 16–24 feet at 16–18 seconds moves in tonight. Swell heights to peak on Monday and bring hazardous conditions to the surf zone and near harbor entrances with breaking waves of 20–30 feet. ∨ .MARINE...AS OF 09:08 PM PDT SUNDAY...WINDS OVER THE WATERS HAVE REDUCED TO 20 TO 30 MILES PER HOUR WITH SOME OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 40 MILES PER HOUR TONIGHT. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL GENERATE VERY STEEP SWELL THAT RESULT IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY FOR SMALLER VESSELS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TONIGHT, BECOMING CALM BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. A LARGE WEST TO NORTHWEST SWELL TRAIN WITH SWELL HEIGHTS OF 16 TO 24 FEET AT 16 TO 18 SECONDS MOVES IN TONIGHT. SWELL HEIGHTS TO PEAK ON MONDAY AND BRING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO THE SURF ZONE AND NEAR HARBOR ENTRANCES WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 20 TO 30 FEET. [AVIA] MTR Watches/Warnings/Advisories Tonight: Wind Advisory…CAZ516>518–528–530 High Surf Warning…CAZ006–505–509–529–530 Flash Flood Watch…CAZ509–512 Flash Flood Watch…CAZ517 Small Craft Advisory…Pt Arena [Mendocino CA] to Pt Reyes [San Francisco CA] 0–10 nm [11 miles] Small Craft Advisory…Pt Reyes [San Francisco CA] to Pigeon Pt [Pescadero CA] 0–10 nm [11 miles] Small Craft Advisory…Pigeon Pt [Pescadero CA] to Pt Pinos [Monterey CA] 0–10 nm [11 miles] Small Craft Advisory…Pt Pinos [Monterey CA] to Pt Piedras Blancas [San Simeon CA] 0–10 nm [11 miles] Small Craft Advisory…Pt Arena [Mendocino CA] to Pigeon Pt [Pescadero CA] 10–60 nm [69 miles] Small Craft Advisory…Pigeon Pt [Pescadero CA] to Pt Piedras Blancas [San Simeon CA] 10–60 nm [69 miles] Small Craft Advisory…SF Bay until 3am Small Craft Advisory…Monterey Bay until 3am ∨ .MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... .TNGT...WIND ADVISORY...CAZ516>518-528-530 HIGH SURF WARNING...CAZ006-505-509-529-530 FLASH FLOOD WATCH...CAZ509-512 FLASH FLOOD WATCH...CAZ517 SCA...PT ARENA TO PT REYES 0-10 NM SCA...PT REYES TO PIGEON PT 0-10 NM SCA...PIGEON PT TO PT PINOS 0-10 NM SCA...PT PINOS TO PT PIEDRAS BLANCAS 0-10 NM SCA...PT ARENA TO PIGEON PT 10-60 NM SCA...PIGEON PT TO PT PIEDRAS BLANCAS 10-60 NM SCA...SF BAY UNTIL 3 AM SCA...MRY BAY UNTIL 3 AM [WARN] Public Forecast: Lorber; Aviation: Diaz; Marine: Dhuyvetter ∨ PUBLIC FORECAST: LORBER AVIATION: DIAZ MARINE: DHUYVETTER [CRED] VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANFRANCISCO [LINK] Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube at: www.facebook.com/nwsbayarea www.twitter.com/nwsbayarea www.youtube.com/nwsbayarea ∨ FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK, TWITTER, AND YOUTUBE AT: WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBAYAREA WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSBAYAREA WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSBAYAREA [DISC]	Point Forecast Montara CA 25 Oct 12:20am PDT Overnight Rain before 2am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Steady temperature around 57°. SSW wind 15 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Monday Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of rain after 11am. High near 58°. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 53°. WSW wind 3 to 8 mph. Tuesday A 20% chance of rain after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 58°. Light south wind becoming SSE 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Tuesday Night A 30% chance of rain before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54°. SSE wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm. Wednesday Partly sunny, with a high near 60°. Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54°. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 62°. Thursday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54°. Friday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58°. Friday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53°. Saturday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58°. Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52°. Sunday Partly sunny, with a high near 57°. Overnight Rain before 2am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Steady temperature around 57. South southwest wind 15 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Monday Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 11am, then a chance of rain after 11am. High near 58. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. West southwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Tuesday A 20 percent chance of rain after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 58. Light south wind becoming south southeast 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Tuesday Night A 30 percent chance of rain before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. South southeast wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm. Wednesday Partly sunny, with a high near 60. Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 62. Thursday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Friday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Friday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Saturday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Sunday Partly sunny, with a high near 57.
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